- Обзор тура -

Обзор тура

Regular Season (Day #1)Regular Season (Day #2)Regular Season (Day #3)Regular Season (Day #4)Regular Season (Day #5)Regular Season (Day #6)Regular Season (Day #7)Regular Season (Day #8)Regular Season (Day #9)Regular Season (Day #10)Regular Season (Day #11)Regular Season (Day #12)Regular Season (Day #13)Regular Season (Day #14)Regular Season (Day #15)Regular Season (Day #16)Regular Season (Day #17)Regular Season (Day #18)Regular Season (Day #19)Regular Season (Day #20)Regular Season (Day #21)Regular Season (Day #22)Regular Season (Day #23)Regular Season (Day #24)Regular Season (Day #25)Regular Season (Day #26)Regular Season (Day #27)Regular Season (Day #28)Regular Season (Day #29)Regular Season (Day #30)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM1 – EA4), Game #1), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA1 – EM4), Game #1), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM2 – EM3), Game #1), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA2 – EA3), Game #1), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC1 – WP4), Game #1), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP1 – WC4), Game #1), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC2 – WC3), Game #1), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP2 – WP3), Game #1)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM1 – EA4), Game #2), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA1 – EM4), Game #2), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM2 – EM3), Game #2), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA2 – EA3), Game #2), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC1 – WP4), Game #2), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP1 – WC4), Game #2), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC2 – WC3), Game #2), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP2 – WP3), Game #2)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM1 – EA4), Game #3), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA1 – EM4), Game #3), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM2 – EM3), Game #3), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA2 – EA3), Game #3), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC1 – WP4), Game #3), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP1 – WC4), Game #3), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC2 – WC3), Game #3), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP2 – WP3), Game #3)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM1 – EA4), Game #4), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA1 – EM4), Game #4), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM2 – EM3), Game #4), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA2 – EA3), Game #4), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC1 – WP4), Game #4), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP1 – WC4), Game #4), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC2 – WC3), Game #4), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP2 – WP3), Game #4)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM1 – EA4), Game #5), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA1 – EM4), Game #5), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM2 – EM3), Game #5), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA2 – EA3), Game #5), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC1 – WP4), Game #5), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP1 – WC4), Game #5), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC2 – WC3), Game #5), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP2 – WP3), Game #5)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM1 – EA4), Game #6), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA1 – EM4), Game #6), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA2 – EA3), Game #6), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC1 – WP4), Game #6), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP1 – WC4), Game #6), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC2 – WC3), Game #6), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP2 – WP3), Game #6)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA1 – EM4), Game #7), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA2 – EA3), Game #7), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP1 – WC4), Game #7), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC2 – WC3), Game #7)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (EM2-EА4), Game #1), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (EA2-EM4), Game #1), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WC1-WC2), Game #1), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WP1-WP2), Game #1)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (EM2-EА4), Game #2), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (EA2-EM4), Game #2), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WC1-WC2), Game #2), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WP1-WP2), Game #2)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (EM2-EА4), Game #3), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (EA2-EM4), Game #3), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WC1-WC2), Game #3), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WP1-WP2), Game #3)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (EM2-EА4), Game #4), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (EA2-EM4), Game #4), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WC1-WC2), Game #4), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WP1-WP2), Game #4)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (EM2-EА4), Game #5), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (EA2-EM4), Game #5), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WC1-WC2), Game #5), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WP1-WP2), Game #5)Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WP1-WP2), Game #6)Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WP1-WP2), Game #7)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Final (EA2-EA4), Game #1), Play-offs (Western Conference Final (WC1-WP1), Game #1)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Final (EA2-EA4), Game #2), Play-offs (Western Conference Final (WC1-WP1), Game #2)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Final (EA2-EA4), Game #3), Play-offs (Western Conference Final (WC1-WP1), Game #3)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Final (EA2-EA4), Game #4), Play-offs (Western Conference Final (WC1-WP1), Game #4)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Final (EA2-EA4), Game #5), Play-offs (Western Conference Final (WC1-WP1), Game #5)Play-offs (Western Conference Final (WC1-WP1), Game #6)Play-offs (Final (WP1-EA2), Game #1)Play-offs (Final (WP1-EA2), Game #2)Play-offs (Final (WP1-EA2), Game #3)Play-offs (Final (WP1-EA2), Game #4)Play-offs (Final (WP1-EA2), Game #5)Play-offs (Final (WP1-EA2), Game #6)

Вероятность исходов реальных матчей
1	Buffalo	39% 51	10% 1	51% 68	Los Angeles
2	Boston	79% 103	7% 2	15% 15	NY Islanders
3	Detroit	29% 37	8% 1	62% 82	Carolina
4	New Jersey	69% 91	7% 0	24% 29	Dallas
5	Tampa Bay	81% 106	5% 0	14% 14	Seattle
6	Toronto	83% 108	5% 0	13% 12	Anaheim
7	Florida	84% 109	5% 1	11% 10	Columbus
8	Winnipeg Jets	54% 71	11% 3	36% 46	Vegas
9	Nashville	35% 45	9% 1	56% 74	Edmonton
10	Chicago	15% 15	5% 0	80% 105	Washington
11	Colorado	83% 108	5% 0	13% 12	Philadelphia
12	San Jose	72% 94	8% 2	21% 24	Arizona
13	Ottawa	65% 85	9% 2	27% 33	Montreal
14	Minnesota	79% 103	5% 0	16% 17	Detroit
15	Calgary	74% 97	7% 1	19% 22	Vancouver
16	Bridgeport	63% 83	10% 4	27% 33	Springfield

Примечание:

• вероятность исхода определяется на основании полученных прогнозов
• вверху указана вероятность исхода в процентах с учетом корректировки на основании эмпирических формул
• внизу указано количество присланных прогнозов на этот исход

«Предсказуемость» программы по Alex'y:   745.

Вероятность исходов матчей ЛХП
Хозяева	Гости	Счет	МомО	Мом	СМО	МО
Flyers	Canadiens	1 - 2 ОТ	0 - 0	7 - 2	1 - 2	2 - 0.8
Devils	Lightning	2 - 1	0 - 0	7 - 4	2 - 1	1.9 - 2.2
Capitals	Panthers	1 - 5	0 - 0	6 - 7	1 - 5	2 - 4
Penguins	Red Wings	8 - 1	0 - 0	13 - 13	8 - 1	8.8 - 1.4
Islanders	Bruins	7 - 2	0 - 0	12 - 15	7 - 2	6.9 - 2
Hurricanes	Sabres	6 - 7 Бул.	0 - 0	18 - 12	6 - 6	3.5 - 7.9
Blue Jackets	Maple Leafs	3 - 9	0 - 0	17 - 15	3 - 9	2.5 - 10
Rangers	Senators	2 - 3	0 - 0	8 - 6	2 - 3	3.1 - 3.4
Blues	Kraken	2 - 4	0 - 0	11 - 8	2 - 4	2.5 - 5.2
Avalanche	Flames	6 - 2	0 - 0	8 - 10	6 - 2	5 - 2.5
Coyotes	Kings	2 - 10	0 - 0	15 - 14	2 - 10	2.9 - 10
Jets	Sharks	7 - 1	0 - 0	12 - 11	7 - 1	5.9 - 2.7
Black Hawks	Canucks	10 - 3	0 - 0	14 - 16	10 - 3	10 - 2.7
Predators	Mighty Ducks	1 - 6	0 - 0	6 - 11	1 - 6	2.9 - 3.9
Wild	Oilers	3 - 8	0 - 0	13 - 15	3 - 8	2.6 - 8.8
Stars	Golden Knights	1 - 7	0 - 0	11 - 15	1 - 7	2.3 - 6.1

Примечание:

Счет - реальный результат матча
МомО - количество оставшихся голевых моментов
Мом - количество голевых моментов
МО - математическое ожидание - начальный наиболее вероятный исход
СМО - скорректированное математическое ожидание - наиболее вероятный исход с учетом уже завершившихся реальных матчей

Процент угаданных исходов:   59%  (1136 из 1920)