- Обзор тура -

Обзор тура

Regular Season (Day #1)Regular Season (Day #2)Regular Season (Day #3)Regular Season (Day #4)Regular Season (Day #5)Regular Season (Day #6)Regular Season (Day #7)Regular Season (Day #8)Regular Season (Day #9)Regular Season (Day #10)Regular Season (Day #11)Regular Season (Day #12)Regular Season (Day #13)Regular Season (Day #14)Regular Season (Day #15)Regular Season (Day #16)Regular Season (Day #17)Regular Season (Day #18)Regular Season (Day #19)Regular Season (Day #20)Regular Season (Day #21)Regular Season (Day #22)Regular Season (Day #23)Regular Season (Day #24)Regular Season (Day #25)Regular Season (Day #26)Regular Season (Day #27)Regular Season (Day #28)Regular Season (Day #29)Regular Season (Day #30)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM1 – EA4), Game #1), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA1 – EM4), Game #1), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM2 – EM3), Game #1), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA2 – EA3), Game #1), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC1 – WP4), Game #1), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP1 – WC4), Game #1), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC2 – WC3), Game #1), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP2 – WP3), Game #1)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM1 – EA4), Game #2), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA1 – EM4), Game #2), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM2 – EM3), Game #2), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA2 – EA3), Game #2), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC1 – WP4), Game #2), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP1 – WC4), Game #2), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC2 – WC3), Game #2), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP2 – WP3), Game #2)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM1 – EA4), Game #3), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA1 – EM4), Game #3), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM2 – EM3), Game #3), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA2 – EA3), Game #3), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC1 – WP4), Game #3), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP1 – WC4), Game #3), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC2 – WC3), Game #3), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP2 – WP3), Game #3)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM1 – EA4), Game #4), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA1 – EM4), Game #4), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM2 – EM3), Game #4), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA2 – EA3), Game #4), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC1 – WP4), Game #4), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP1 – WC4), Game #4), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC2 – WC3), Game #4), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP2 – WP3), Game #4)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM1 – EA4), Game #5), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA1 – EM4), Game #5), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM2 – EM3), Game #5), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA2 – EA3), Game #5), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC1 – WP4), Game #5), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP1 – WC4), Game #5), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC2 – WC3), Game #5), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP2 – WP3), Game #5)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM1 – EA4), Game #6), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA1 – EM4), Game #6), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA2 – EA3), Game #6), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC1 – WP4), Game #6), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP1 – WC4), Game #6), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC2 – WC3), Game #6), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP2 – WP3), Game #6)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA1 – EM4), Game #7), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA2 – EA3), Game #7), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP1 – WC4), Game #7), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC2 – WC3), Game #7)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (EM2-EА4), Game #1), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (EA2-EM4), Game #1), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WC1-WC2), Game #1), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WP1-WP2), Game #1)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (EM2-EА4), Game #2), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (EA2-EM4), Game #2), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WC1-WC2), Game #2), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WP1-WP2), Game #2)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (EM2-EА4), Game #3), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (EA2-EM4), Game #3), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WC1-WC2), Game #3), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WP1-WP2), Game #3)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (EM2-EА4), Game #4), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (EA2-EM4), Game #4), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WC1-WC2), Game #4), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WP1-WP2), Game #4)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (EM2-EА4), Game #5), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (EA2-EM4), Game #5), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WC1-WC2), Game #5), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WP1-WP2), Game #5)Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WP1-WP2), Game #6)Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WP1-WP2), Game #7)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Final (EA2-EA4), Game #1), Play-offs (Western Conference Final (WC1-WP1), Game #1)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Final (EA2-EA4), Game #2), Play-offs (Western Conference Final (WC1-WP1), Game #2)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Final (EA2-EA4), Game #3), Play-offs (Western Conference Final (WC1-WP1), Game #3)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Final (EA2-EA4), Game #4), Play-offs (Western Conference Final (WC1-WP1), Game #4)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Final (EA2-EA4), Game #5), Play-offs (Western Conference Final (WC1-WP1), Game #5)Play-offs (Western Conference Final (WC1-WP1), Game #6)Play-offs (Final (WP1-EA2), Game #1)Play-offs (Final (WP1-EA2), Game #2)Play-offs (Final (WP1-EA2), Game #3)Play-offs (Final (WP1-EA2), Game #4)Play-offs (Final (WP1-EA2), Game #5)Play-offs (Final (WP1-EA2), Game #6)

Вероятность исходов реальных матчей
1	Buffalo	17% 20	5% 0	78% 109	Tampa Bay
2	Detroit	31% 42	8% 1	61% 86	Toronto
3	Columbus	25% 33	7% 1	67% 95	Vegas
4	NY Rangers	45% 65	11% 1	44% 63	New Jersey
5	St Louis	52% 74	10% 1	38% 54	Dallas
6	Edmonton	53% 75	9% 0	38% 54	Florida
7	Boston	61% 87	8% 0	31% 42	Tampa Bay
8	Montreal	57% 81	10% 3	33% 45	San Jose
9	Pittsburgh	63% 89	9% 3	28% 37	Carolina
10	Philadelphia	26% 34	8% 2	66% 93	NY Islanders
11	Winnipeg Jets	24% 31	8% 2	68% 96	Colorado
12	Nashville	77% 109	7% 3	15% 17	Anaheim
13	Calgary	53% 75	10% 2	37% 52	Florida
14	Vancouver	33% 45	9% 1	59% 83	Washington
15	Los Angeles	57% 81	10% 3	33% 45	Seattle
16	Milwaukee	58% 82	12% 6	30% 41	Texas

Примечание:

• вероятность исхода определяется на основании полученных прогнозов
• вверху указана вероятность исхода в процентах с учетом корректировки на основании эмпирических формул
• внизу указано количество присланных прогнозов на этот исход

«Предсказуемость» программы по Alex'y:   464.

Вероятность исходов матчей ЛХП
Хозяева	Гости	Счет	МомО	Мом	СМО	МО
Islanders	Avalanche	4 - 5	0 - 0	10 - 9	4 - 5	3.9 - 4.8
Hurricanes	Blues	2 - 7	0 - 0	10 - 11	2 - 7	4.3 - 4.6
Blue Jackets	Golden Knights	5 - 3	0 - 0	15 - 14	5 - 3	3.8 - 5.8
Rangers	Kraken	5 - 0	0 - 0	6 - 5	5 - 0	2.5 - 3
Maple Leafs	Flames	2 - 5	0 - 0	9 - 8	2 - 5	5 - 2.4
Sabres	Kings	0 - 5	0 - 0	5 - 9	0 - 5	1.8 - 3.7
Bruins	Jets	4 - 8	0 - 0	16 - 14	4 - 8	3.5 - 7.9
Red Wings	Coyotes	7 - 2	0 - 0	12 - 12	7 - 2	5 - 4.1
Black Hawks	Devils	2 - 3	0 - 0	6 - 8	2 - 3	2.4 - 3.4
Predators	Flyers	2 - 5	0 - 0	11 - 14	2 - 5	2.6 - 6.1
Canucks	Penguins	2 - 5	0 - 0	12 - 12	2 - 5	2.8 - 6.9
Sharks	Capitals	2 - 7	0 - 0	12 - 11	2 - 7	3.5 - 6
Oilers	Lightning	4 - 6	0 - 0	10 - 10	4 - 6	3.4 - 5
Mighty Ducks	Panthers	3 - 5	0 - 0	12 - 13	3 - 5	2.4 - 6.7
Wild	Senators	4 - 8	0 - 0	17 - 14	4 - 8	3.9 - 7.2
Stars	Canadiens	5 - 6	0 - 0	16 - 13	5 - 6	3.3 - 8

Примечание:

Счет - реальный результат матча
МомО - количество оставшихся голевых моментов
Мом - количество голевых моментов
МО - математическое ожидание - начальный наиболее вероятный исход
СМО - скорректированное математическое ожидание - наиболее вероятный исход с учетом уже завершившихся реальных матчей

Процент угаданных исходов:   49%  (1016 из 2064)