Обзор тура

Regular Season (Day #1)Regular Season (Day #2)Regular Season (Day #3)Regular Season (Day #4)Regular Season (Day #5)Regular Season (Day #6)Regular Season (Day #7)Regular Season (Day #8)Regular Season (Day #9)Regular Season (Day #10)Regular Season (Day #11)Regular Season (Day #12)Regular Season (Day #13)Regular Season (Day #14)Regular Season (Day #15)Regular Season (Day #16)Regular Season (Day #17)Regular Season (Day #18)Regular Season (Day #19)Regular Season (Day #20)Regular Season (Day #21)Regular Season (Day #22)Regular Season (Day #23)Regular Season (Day #24)Regular Season (Day #25)Regular Season (Day #26)Regular Season (Day #27)Regular Season (Day #28)Regular Season (Day #29)Regular Season (Day #30)Regular Season (Day #31)Regular Season (Day #32)All Stars Game (Day #1)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM1-EM4), Game #1), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM2-EM3), Game #1), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA1-EM5), Game #1), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA2-EA3), Game #1), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC1-WC4), Game #1), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC2-WC3), Game #1), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP1-WC5), Game #1)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM1-EM4), Game #2), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM2-EM3), Game #2), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA1-EM5), Game #2), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA2-EA3), Game #2), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC1-WC4), Game #2), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC2-WC3), Game #2), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP1-WC5), Game #2)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM1-EM4), Game #3), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM2-EM3), Game #3), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA1-EM5), Game #3), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA2-EA3), Game #3), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC1-WC4), Game #3), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC2-WC3), Game #3), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP1-WC5), Game #3)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM1-EM4), Game #4), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM2-EM3), Game #4), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA1-EM5), Game #4), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA2-EA3), Game #4), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC1-WC4), Game #4), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC2-WC3), Game #4), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP1-WC5), Game #4)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM1-EM4), Game #5), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EM2-EM3), Game #5), Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA2-EA3), Game #5), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC1-WC4), Game #5), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC2-WC3), Game #5), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WP1-WC5), Game #5)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (EA2-EA3), Game #6), Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC2-WC3), Game #6)Play-offs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (WC2-WC3), Game #7)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (EM1-EM2), Game #1), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WC1-WC2), Game #1), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WP1-WP2), Game #1)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (EM1-EM2), Game #2), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WC1-WC2), Game #2), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WP1-WP2), Game #2)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (EM1-EM2), Game #3), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WC1-WC2), Game #3), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WP1-WP2), Game #3)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (EM1-EM2), Game #4), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WC1-WC2), Game #4), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WP1-WP2), Game #4)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (EM1-EM2), Game #5), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WC1-WC2), Game #5), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WP1-WP2), Game #5)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (EM1-EM2), Game #6), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WC1-WC2), Game #6), Play-offs (Western Conference Semi-Final (WP1-WP2), Game #6)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Final (ЕА1-ЕМ2), Game #1), Play-offs (Western Conference Final (WP1-WC2), Game #1)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Final (ЕА1-ЕМ2), Game #2), Play-offs (Western Conference Final (WP1-WC2), Game #2)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Final (ЕА1-ЕМ2), Game #3), Play-offs (Western Conference Final (WP1-WC2), Game #3)Play-offs (Eastern Conference Final (ЕА1-ЕМ2), Game #4), Play-offs (Western Conference Final (WP1-WC2), Game #4)Play-offs (Western Conference Final (WP1-WC2), Game #5)Play-offs (Western Conference Final (WP1-WC2), Game #6)Play-offs (Final (WP1-EA1), Game #1)Play-offs (Final (WP1-EA1), Game #2)Play-offs (Final (WP1-EA1), Game #3)Play-offs (Final (WP1-EA1), Game #4)Play-offs (Final (WP1-EA1), Game #5)Play-offs (Final (WP1-EA1), Game #6)

Вероятность исходов реальных матчей
1	Pittsburgh	80% 152	5% 1	14% 21	Philadelphia
2	NY Islanders	37% 70	10% 3	53% 101	Columbus
3	New Jersey	27% 49	8% 2	64% 123	Winnipeg Jets
4	Florida	18% 28	5% 0	77% 146	Tampa Bay
5	Montreal	70% 133	7% 2	23% 39	NY Rangers
6	Boston	82% 156	6% 2	12% 16	Detroit
7	Minnesota	49% 95	11% 3	40% 76	Toronto
8	Nashville	76% 145	7% 3	17% 26	Chicago
9	Arizona	49% 94	11% 4	40% 76	St Louis
10	Edmonton	39% 74	11% 4	50% 96	Vegas
11	Washington	83% 157	6% 2	11% 15	Anaheim
12	NY Rangers	35% 66	11% 5	54% 103	Winnipeg Jets
13	Detroit	24% 42	9% 4	67% 128	Colorado
14	Montreal	32% 59	9% 2	59% 113	San Jose
15	Chicago	36% 67	10% 3	54% 104	Calgary
16	Los Angeles	39% 75	11% 4	49% 95	Carolina

Примечание:

• вероятность исхода определяется на основании полученных прогнозов
• вверху указана вероятность исхода в процентах с учетом корректировки на основании эмпирических формул
• внизу указано количество присланных прогнозов на этот исход

«Предсказуемость» программы по Alex'y:   562.

Вероятность исходов матчей ЛХП
Хозяева	Гости	Счет	МомО	Мом	СМО	МО
Penguins	Rangers	3 - 4 Бул.	0 - 0	9 - 4	3 - 3	4.4 - 1.9
Flyers	Devils	3 - 6	0 - 0	8 - 8	3 - 6	3.1 - 2.7
Islanders	Blue Jackets	6 - 5	0 - 0	17 - 11	6 - 5	4 - 6.2
Capitals	Hurricanes	6 - 3	0 - 0	11 - 9	6 - 3	6.5 - 3.2
Senators	Red Wings	7 - 6 ОТ	0 - 0	13 - 14	7 - 6	8.1 - 3.1
Sabres	Panthers	3 - 8	0 - 0	19 - 13	3 - 8	4.8 - 6.9
Lightning	Canadiens	5 - 1	0 - 0	7 - 5	5 - 1	3.6 - 2
Bruins	Maple Leafs	9 - 4	0 - 0	13 - 13	9 - 4	8.2 - 3.2
Wild	Stars	5 - 3	0 - 0	7 - 8	5 - 3	3.4 - 3.6
Jets	Blues	7 - 5	0 - 0	13 - 15	7 - 5	7.5 - 4.3
Predators	Black Hawks	7 - 1	0 - 0	10 - 8	7 - 1	5.7 - 3.1
Oilers	Canucks	3 - 7	0 - 0	15 - 13	3 - 7	3.4 - 8.4
Kings	Sharks	3 - 7	0 - 0	14 - 10	3 - 7	3.9 - 5
Flames	Coyotes	3 - 4 ОТ	0 - 0	8 - 14	3 - 4	4.3 - 4.1
Mighty Ducks	Avalanche	1 - 3	0 - 0	5 - 7	1 - 3	2.6 - 2.2

Примечание:

Счет - реальный результат матча
МомО - количество оставшихся голевых моментов
Мом - количество голевых моментов
МО - математическое ожидание - начальный наиболее вероятный исход
СМО - скорректированное математическое ожидание - наиболее вероятный исход с учетом уже завершившихся реальных матчей

Очки набранные дома/в гостях:   25 / 20

Процент угаданных исходов:   48%  (1338 из 2784)