Обзор тура

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Conference Quarter-Final (4-5), 1-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (1-8), 1-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (2-7), 1-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (3-6), 1-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (4-5), 1-й матч)Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (1-8), 2-й матч), Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (2-7), 2-й матч), Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (3-6), 2-й матч), Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (4-5), 2-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (1-8), 2-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (2-7), 2-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (3-6), 2-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (4-5), 2-й матч)Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (1-8), 3-й матч), Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (2-7), 3-й матч), Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (3-6), 3-й матч), Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (4-5), 3-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (1-8), 3-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (2-7), 3-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (3-6), 3-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (4-5), 3-й матч)Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (1-8), 4-й матч), Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (2-7), 4-й матч), Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (3-6), 4-й матч), Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (4-5), 4-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (1-8), 4-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (2-7), 4-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (3-6), 4-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (4-5), 4-й матч)Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (1-8), 5-й матч), Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (3-6), 5-й матч), Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (4-5), 5-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Quarter-Final (4-5), 5-й матч)Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (1-8), 6-й матч), Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (3-6), 6-й матч), Playoffs (Eastern Conference Quarter-Final (4-5), 6-й матч)Playoffs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (2-8), 1-й матч), Playoffs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (4-6), 1-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Semi-Final (1-6), 1-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Semi-Final (2-4), 1-й матч)Playoffs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (2-8), 2-й матч), Playoffs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (4-6), 2-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Semi-Final (1-6), 2-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Semi-Final (2-4), 2-й матч)Playoffs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (2-8), 3-й матч), Playoffs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (4-6), 3-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Semi-Final (1-6), 3-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Semi-Final (2-4), 3-й матч)Playoffs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (2-8), 4-й матч), Playoffs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (4-6), 4-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Semi-Final (1-6), 4-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Semi-Final (2-4), 4-й матч)Playoffs (Eastern Conference Semi-Final (2-8), 5-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Semi-Final (1-6), 5-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Semi-Final (2-4), 5-й матч)Playoffs (Eastern Conference Final (2-4), 1-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Final (1-2), 1-й матч)Playoffs (Eastern Conference Final (2-4), 2-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Final (1-2), 2-й матч)Playoffs (Eastern Conference Final (2-4), 3-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Final (1-2), 3-й матч)Playoffs (Eastern Conference Final (2-4), 4-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Final (1-2), 4-й матч)Playoffs (Eastern Conference Final (2-4), 5-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Final (1-2), 5-й матч)Playoffs (Eastern Conference Final (2-4), 6-й матч), Playoffs (Western Conference Final (1-2), 6-й матч)Playoffs (Western Conference Semi-Final (2-4), 6-й матч)Playoffs (Western Conference Semi-Final (2-4), 7-й матч)Playoffs (Western Conference Final (1-2), 7-й матч)Playoffs (N.A.L Cup Final (W1-E2), 1-й матч)Playoffs (N.A.L Cup Final (W1-E2), 2-й матч)Playoffs (N.A.L Cup Final (W1-E2), 3-й матч)Playoffs (N.A.L Cup Final (W1-E2), 4-й матч)Playoffs (N.A.L Cup Final (W1-E2), 5-й матч)Playoffs (N.A.L Cup Final (W1-E2), 6-й матч)

Вероятность исходов реальных матчей
1	BUFFALO	26% 39	9% 3	65% 105	PITTSBURGH
2	NY ISLANDERS	30% 46	8% 1	62% 100	COLUMBUS
3	CAROLINA	19% 26	7% 2	74% 119	WASHINGTON
4	ATLANTA	19% 26	7% 2	74% 119	DETROIT
5	MONTREAL	64% 103	9% 3	27% 41	LOS ANGELES
6	OTTAWA	59% 96	9% 2	32% 49	DALLAS
7	NEW JERSEY	51% 83	12% 5	37% 59	CALGARY
8	TAMPA BAY	61% 98	8% 1	31% 48	NY RANGERS
9	FLORIDA	23% 33	8% 3	69% 111	BOSTON
10	NASHVILLE	52% 85	14% 9	34% 53	ST LOUIS
11	MINNESOTA	31% 48	9% 2	60% 97	PHILADELPHIA
12	VANCOUVER	66% 107	8% 2	25% 38	COLORADO
13	SAN JOSE	49% 80	12% 5	39% 62	CHICAGO
14	Bridgeport	55% 89	9% 0	36% 58	Providence
15	Norfolk	64% 103	8% 2	28% 42	Charlotte
16	EDMONTON	32% 49	13% 8	55% 90	COLORADO

Примечание:

• вероятность исхода определяется на основании полученных прогнозов
• вверху указана вероятность исхода в процентах с учетом корректировки на основании эмпирических формул
• внизу указано количество присланных прогнозов на этот исход

«Предсказуемость» программы по Alex'y:   488.

Вероятность исходов матчей ЛХП
Хозяева	Гости	Счет	МомО	Мом	СМО	МО
Penguins	Red Wings	5 - 7	0 - 0	11 - 12	5 - 7	5.8 - 4
Thrashers	Islanders	7 - 2	0 - 0	14 - 11	7 - 2	5.8 - 4.5
Rangers	Blue Jackets	2 - 4	0 - 0	7 - 11	2 - 4	3.6 - 3.7
Sabres	Maple Leafs	2 - 10	0 - 0	15 - 13	2 - 10	4 - 7.5
Canadiens	Oilers	3 - 2	0 - 0	11 - 11	3 - 2	5.3 - 2.8
Bruins	Senators	3 - 9	0 - 0	11 - 11	3 - 9	4.3 - 5.4
Lightning	Capitals	5 - 3	0 - 0	12 - 11	5 - 3	2.9 - 4.3
Panthers	Hurricanes	6 - 1	0 - 0	14 - 13	6 - 1	7.1 - 3.4
Predators	Devils	5 - 3	0 - 0	9 - 9	5 - 3	4.3 - 4.2
Blues	Flyers	4 - 5	0 - 0	11 - 12	4 - 5	3.6 - 4.5
Black Hawks	Coyotes	5 - 2	0 - 0	10 - 13	5 - 2	2.8 - 4.3
Canucks	Wild	6 - 4	0 - 0	13 - 10	6 - 4	6.6 - 3.6
Flames	Avalanche	2 - 4	0 - 0	10 - 12	2 - 4	2.1 - 4.3
Kings	Mighty Ducks	2 - 1	0 - 0	6 - 3	2 - 1	2.4 - 0.9
Sharks	Stars	4 - 2	0 - 0	10 - 9	4 - 2	4.2 - 2.8

Примечание:

Счет - реальный результат матча
МомО - количество оставшихся голевых моментов
Мом - количество голевых моментов
МО - математическое ожидание - начальный наиболее вероятный исход
СМО - скорректированное математическое ожидание - наиболее вероятный исход с учетом уже завершившихся реальных матчей

Очки набранные дома/в гостях:   21 / 9

Процент угаданных исходов:   49%  (1158 из 2352)